The southwest (summer season) monsoon on Saturday lined your complete
nation six days earlier than its ‘regular’ date of July 8, stated the India
Meteorological Department (IMD) whereas issuing alerts for enhanced
rainfall over Odisha, Gujarat, Konkan and Goa through the subsequent 5
days, and over different elements, together with northwest India, on July 5-6,
Trend studies
citing The Times of India.
Analysis of previous information exhibits that the monsoon lined your complete
nation sooner than its ordinary date solely six occasions prior to now 20
years with the earliest one being recorded in 2013 when it lined
whole India as early as on June 16, a couple of month sooner than its
then ‘regular’ date of July 15. The IMD had revised the ‘regular’ to
July 8 in 2020, primarily based on previous 50 years information.
“Early or delayed protection, nonetheless, does not predict total
standing of rainfall, each quantitatively or by way of spatial
distribution, through the season. Records don’t present any
correlation and subsequently completely different years introduced a unique
image,” stated an official.
Past information present that in 2013, the southwest monsoon lined the
whole nation sooner than its ordinary date with ‘regular’ rainfall.
In 2015 as properly, it had lined your complete nation earlier nation
sooner than reported with ‘poor’ rainfall which ultimately
led to a drought yr.
Five out of six early coverages had been reported prior to now 10
years (2013-2022). In the previous 10 years (2003-12), there was
an occasion of just one early protection in 2005.
On a constructive notice, early protection this yr will assist in
rushing up on going sowing operations of kharif crops (paddy,
pulses and coarse grains) that would not decide up properly in June due
to eight% deficit rainfall through the month.
Predicting enhanced rainfall exercise in sure elements of the
nation, the Met division on Saturday famous the potential for
heavy rainfall over central India on July 4-5 and over northwest
India on July 5-6.
On the influence entrance, it predicted “localised flooding of roads,
water logging in low mendacity areas and closure of underpasses primarily
in city areas” within the area of enhanced rainfall exercise.
